In this tight Bundesliga relegation showdown at Millerntor-Stadion, trader consensus slightly favors FC St. Pauli at 39.5% implied probability, buoyed by home advantage and 1. FC Köln's defensive injury crisis, including season-ending absences for Timo Hübers and Luca Kilian, plus doubts over Joël Schmied and Malek El Mala. St. Pauli sit 16th with a recent 1-1 draw at Union Berlin snapping poor form, though they miss Mitchell Weiser, Oladapo Adeh, and others per latest squad update. Köln, 15th on the table, remain unbeaten in seven head-to-heads (5W-2D) but struggle away amid back-to-back draws, making a draw at 29.5% equally plausible in this survival scrap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...In this tight Bundesliga relegation showdown at Millerntor-Stadion, trader consensus slightly favors FC St. Pauli at 39.5% implied probability, buoyed by home advantage and 1. FC Köln's defensive injury crisis, including season-ending absences for Timo Hübers and Luca Kilian, plus doubts over Joël Schmied and Malek El Mala. St. Pauli sit 16th with a recent 1-1 draw at Union Berlin snapping poor form, though they miss Mitchell Weiser, Oladapo Adeh, and others per latest squad update. Köln, 15th on the table, remain unbeaten in seven head-to-heads (5W-2D) but struggle away amid back-to-back draws, making a draw at 29.5% equally plausible in this survival scrap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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