Union Berlin's 45.5% implied probability as slight favorites stems from their home advantage at An der Alten Försterei, where they've won the last six meetings against St. Pauli, bolstering trader consensus amid mid-table comfort at 9th with 31 points after 27 matches. St. Pauli's 24.5% underdog pricing reflects their relegation battle at 16th on 24 points and a depleted squad, with key absences including Eric Smith (calf), James Sands (season-ending ankle), Lars Ritzka (shoulder), and several defenders like Manolis Saliakas (hamstring). Recent form is mixed—Union with a W-L-L-W-L run, St. Pauli W-W-D-L-L—following St. Pauli's 1-0 home win in November, keeping the draw at 29.5% viable in this closely contested Bundesliga clash.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Union Berlin's 45.5% implied probability as slight favorites stems from their home advantage at An der Alten Försterei, where they've won the last six meetings against St. Pauli, bolstering trader consensus amid mid-table comfort at 9th with 31 points after 27 matches. St. Pauli's 24.5% underdog pricing reflects their relegation battle at 16th on 24 points and a depleted squad, with key absences including Eric Smith (calf), James Sands (season-ending ankle), Lars Ritzka (shoulder), and several defenders like Manolis Saliakas (hamstring). Recent form is mixed—Union with a W-L-L-W-L run, St. Pauli W-W-D-L-L—following St. Pauli's 1-0 home win in November, keeping the draw at 29.5% viable in this closely contested Bundesliga clash.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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