Elevated geopolitical supply risks from the ongoing U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to anchor trader sentiment around higher crude oil prices for the June settlement. Middle East production disruptions totaling over 10 million barrels per day have triggered sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting front-month futures near $92–$96 per barrel as of early June and implying a 74% probability for settlement above $84. These dynamics outweigh structural bearish factors such as resilient non-OPEC supply growth and moderate demand, with markets pricing in sustained tightness through the summer peak. Key near-term catalysts include potential Strait reopening timelines, ceasefire developments, and the June 9 EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook update, which could clarify the duration of the supply shock and any subsequent price moderation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 74%
$77-$84 14%
$70-$77 5.3%
$63-$70 2.1%
$216,461 Wol.
$216,461 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
2%
$70-$77
5%
$77-$84
14%
>$84
74%
>$84 74%
$77-$84 14%
$70-$77 5.3%
$63-$70 2.1%
$216,461 Wol.
$216,461 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$21,818 Wol.
<1%
$42-$49
$10,548 Wol.
1%
$49-$56
$12,515 Wol.
1%
$56-$63
$14,675 Wol.
1%
$63-$70
$27,698 Wol.
2%
$70-$77
$18,679 Wol.
5%
$77-$84
$19,051 Wol.
14%
>$84
$91,475 Wol.
74%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Elevated geopolitical supply risks from the ongoing U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to anchor trader sentiment around higher crude oil prices for the June settlement. Middle East production disruptions totaling over 10 million barrels per day have triggered sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting front-month futures near $92–$96 per barrel as of early June and implying a 74% probability for settlement above $84. These dynamics outweigh structural bearish factors such as resilient non-OPEC supply growth and moderate demand, with markets pricing in sustained tightness through the summer peak. Key near-term catalysts include potential Strait reopening timelines, ceasefire developments, and the June 9 EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook update, which could clarify the duration of the supply shock and any subsequent price moderation.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$216,461Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Elevated geopolitical supply risks from the ongoing U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to anchor trader sentiment around higher crude oil prices for the June settlement. Middle East production disruptions totaling over 10 million barrels per day have triggered sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting front-month futures near $92–$96 per barrel as of early June and implying a 74% probability for settlement above $84. These dynamics outweigh structural bearish factors such as resilient non-OPEC supply growth and moderate demand, with markets pricing in sustained tightness through the summer peak. Key near-term catalysts include potential Strait reopening timelines, ceasefire developments, and the June 9 EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook update, which could clarify the duration of the supply shock and any subsequent price moderation.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Wolumen
$216,461Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elevated geopolitical supply risks from the ongoing U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to anchor trader sentiment around higher crude oil prices for the June settlement. Middle East production disruptions totaling over 10 million barrels per day have triggered sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting front-month futures near $92–$96 per barrel as of early June and implying a 74% probability for settlement above $84. These dynamics outweigh structural bearish factors such as resilient non-OPEC supply growth and moderate demand, with markets pricing in sustained tightness through the summer peak. Key near-term catalysts include potential Strait reopening timelines, ceasefire developments, and the June 9 EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook update, which could clarify the duration of the supply shock and any subsequent price moderation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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