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Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

May 1

Jun 1

May 1

Jun 1

1240-1279 14.6%

1160-1199 13.0%

1200-1239 12.8%

1280-1319 11.4%

Polymarket

$7,873,148 Vol.

1240-1279 14.6%

1160-1199 13.0%

1200-1239 12.8%

1280-1319 11.4%

Polymarket

$7,873,148 Vol.

540-559

$82,256 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$99,163 Vol.

<1%

580-599

$96,194 Vol.

<1%

600-619

$80,290 Vol.

<1%

620-639

$127,478 Vol.

<1%

640-659

$126,081 Vol.

<1%

660-679

$140,961 Vol.

<1%

680-699

$52,072 Vol.

<1%

700-719

$68,179 Vol.

<1%

720-739

$121,538 Vol.

<1%

740-759

$80,221 Vol.

<1%

760-779

$39,087 Vol.

<1%

780-799

$50,104 Vol.

<1%

800-839

$72,038 Vol.

<1%

840-879

$87,098 Vol.

1%

880-919

$151,529 Vol.

1%

920-959

$54,729 Vol.

1%

960-999

$34,693 Vol.

2%

1000-1039

$40,262 Vol.

4%

1040-1079

$91,833 Vol.

4%

1080-1119

$61,386 Vol.

4%

1120-1159

$113,217 Vol.

9%

1160-1199

$274,911 Vol.

13%

1200-1239

$168,417 Vol.

13%

1240-1279

$87,805 Vol.

15%

1280-1319

$171,638 Vol.

11%

1320-1359

$241,748 Vol.

7%

1360-1399

$214,831 Vol.

5%

1400-1439

$521,606 Vol.

3%

1440-1479

$85,785 Vol.

2%

1480-1519

$72,630 Vol.

1%

1520-1559

$89,594 Vol.

1%

1560-1599

$108,392 Vol.

1%

1600-1679

$103,818 Vol.

<1%

1680-1759

$148,097 Vol.

1%

1760-1839

$100,182 Vol.

<1%

1840-1919

$156,731 Vol.

<1%

1920-1999

$31,374 Vol.

<1%

2000+

$29,346 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 2026 clusters tightly around 1160-1279 posts, implying a steady 38-43 daily average over the 30-day period, reflecting his sustained high-engagement rhythm on X amid Tesla updates, xAI developments, and political discourse. Through April 16, roughly 600 posts logged via trackers like xtracker.polymarket.com, with recent daily swings—78 on April 12-13 during a buzzworthy spike, dipping to 22 the next day, then rebounding to 45—fueling the narrow spread among top bins and underscoring volatility from viral moments or quiet periods. With two weeks left, key swing factors include potential surges from SpaceX launches or Trump administration headlines, keeping the race competitive as crowds weigh historical 40-post norms against unpredictable bursts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$7,873,148
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 2026 clusters tightly around 1160-1279 posts, implying a steady 38-43 daily average over the 30-day period, reflecting his sustained high-engagement rhythm on X amid Tesla updates, xAI developments, and political discourse. Through April 16, roughly 600 posts logged via trackers like xtracker.polymarket.com, with recent daily swings—78 on April 12-13 during a buzzworthy spike, dipping to 22 the next day, then rebounding to 45—fueling the narrow spread among top bins and underscoring volatility from viral moments or quiet periods. With two weeks left, key swing factors include potential surges from SpaceX launches or Trump administration headlines, keeping the race competitive as crowds weigh historical 40-post norms against unpredictable bursts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$7,873,148
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1240-1279" at 15%, followed by "1160-1199" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" has generated $7.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" is "1240-1279" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1160-1199" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.