Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final qualifiers on May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle strongly backs frontrunners Australia (Delta Goodrem's powerhouse "Eclipse"), Denmark (Søren Torpegaard Lund's anthemic "Før vi går hjem"), and Ukraine (Leléka's emotive "Ridnym"), driven by diaspora voting blocs, national jury appeal, and prime late running order slots unveiled April 2. The 15-entry field—including Romania's edgy "Choke Me," Cyprus's "Jalla," Czechia's "Crossroads," and Norway's "Ya ya ya"—marks the most competitive semi since 2019 per data models, with tight battles looming for the final qualification spots amid televote volatility. Stand-in rehearsals began April 25, but first artist sessions from May 4 will spotlight staging innovations that historically swing momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final
$265,921 Vol.
May 14, 2026
Ukraine
96%
Denmark
95%
Australia
94%
Romania
84%
Bulgaria
81%
Malta
78%
Cyprus
78%
Norway
76%
Czechia
71%
Albania
61%
Switzerland
49%
Latvia
48%
Luxembourg
38%
Armenia
37%
Azerbaijan
7%
$265,921 Vol.
Ukraine
$1,761 Vol.
96%
Denmark
$1,050 Vol.
95%
Australia
$12,040 Vol.
94%
Romania
$10,352 Vol.
84%
Bulgaria
$7,012 Vol.
81%
Malta
$17,271 Vol.
78%
Cyprus
$21,673 Vol.
78%
Norway
$15,520 Vol.
76%
Czechia
$37,182 Vol.
71%
Albania
$23,367 Vol.
61%
Switzerland
$74,660 Vol.
49%
Latvia
$1,931 Vol.
48%
Luxembourg
$22,877 Vol.
38%
Armenia
$13,403 Vol.
37%
Azerbaijan
$6,083 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final qualifiers on May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle strongly backs frontrunners Australia (Delta Goodrem's powerhouse "Eclipse"), Denmark (Søren Torpegaard Lund's anthemic "Før vi går hjem"), and Ukraine (Leléka's emotive "Ridnym"), driven by diaspora voting blocs, national jury appeal, and prime late running order slots unveiled April 2. The 15-entry field—including Romania's edgy "Choke Me," Cyprus's "Jalla," Czechia's "Crossroads," and Norway's "Ya ya ya"—marks the most competitive semi since 2019 per data models, with tight battles looming for the final qualification spots amid televote volatility. Stand-in rehearsals began April 25, but first artist sessions from May 4 will spotlight staging innovations that historically swing momentum.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$265,921End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final qualifiers on May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle strongly backs frontrunners Australia (Delta Goodrem's powerhouse "Eclipse"), Denmark (Søren Torpegaard Lund's anthemic "Før vi går hjem"), and Ukraine (Leléka's emotive "Ridnym"), driven by diaspora voting blocs, national jury appeal, and prime late running order slots unveiled April 2. The 15-entry field—including Romania's edgy "Choke Me," Cyprus's "Jalla," Czechia's "Crossroads," and Norway's "Ya ya ya"—marks the most competitive semi since 2019 per data models, with tight battles looming for the final qualification spots amid televote volatility. Stand-in rehearsals began April 25, but first artist sessions from May 4 will spotlight staging innovations that historically swing momentum.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$265,921End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final qualifiers on May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle strongly backs frontrunners Australia (Delta Goodrem's powerhouse "Eclipse"), Denmark (Søren Torpegaard Lund's anthemic "Før vi går hjem"), and Ukraine (Leléka's emotive "Ridnym"), driven by diaspora voting blocs, national jury appeal, and prime late running order slots unveiled April 2. The 15-entry field—including Romania's edgy "Choke Me," Cyprus's "Jalla," Czechia's "Crossroads," and Norway's "Ya ya ya"—marks the most competitive semi since 2019 per data models, with tight battles looming for the final qualification spots amid televote volatility. Stand-in rehearsals began April 25, but first artist sessions from May 4 will spotlight staging innovations that historically swing momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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