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Eurovision Winner 2026

icon for Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 36.5%

Denmark 11.8%

Greece 10.8%

France 10.3%

Polymarket

$117,069,780 Vol.

Finland 36.5%

Denmark 11.8%

Greece 10.8%

France 10.3%

Polymarket

$117,069,780 Vol.

icon for Finland

Finland

$3,205,552 Vol.

37%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$1,818,902 Vol.

12%

icon for Greece

Greece

$2,153,489 Vol.

11%

icon for France

France

$2,377,349 Vol.

10%

icon for Australia

Australia

$1,916,717 Vol.

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$2,032,515 Vol.

5%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$1,594,985 Vol.

3%

icon for Italy

Italy

$2,766,841 Vol.

3%

icon for Romania

Romania

$1,895,759 Vol.

2%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$1,889,270 Vol.

1%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$1,869,380 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,006,864 Vol.

1%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$1,398,115 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$2,053,646 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$2,576,961 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$2,641,349 Vol.

1%

icon for Germany

Germany

$2,482,952 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$2,751,419 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norway

Norway

$3,463,421 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$3,061,668 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$3,820,991 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$3,764,187 Vol.

<1%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$4,476,873 Vol.

<1%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$2,474,475 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$5,133,721 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$6,149,985 Vol.

<1%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$5,328,131 Vol.

<1%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$4,477,694 Vol.

<1%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$4,511,526 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$5,262,997 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$5,186,796 Vol.

<1%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$5,344,386 Vol.

<1%

icon for Poland

Poland

$4,641,527 Vol.

<1%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$5,184,605 Vol.

<1%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$5,354,736 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Finland as the clear frontrunner at 36.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a striking fusion of classical violin prowess and pop dynamism that dominated Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu in late February and has topped bookmakers, fan polls, and predictive models like The Model ever since. Recent first rehearsals in Vienna (clips emerging April 20) and pre-party performances further cemented its lead, showcasing orchestral staging potential for jury and televote appeal. Denmark's emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.8%) benefits from Nordic momentum, while Greece's upbeat "Ferto" by Akylas (10.8%) and France's "Regarde!" by Monroe (10.3%) compete via infectious hooks. Ongoing rehearsals this week could trigger volatility before May 12–16 semis.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$117,069,780
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Finland as the clear frontrunner at 36.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a striking fusion of classical violin prowess and pop dynamism that dominated Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu in late February and has topped bookmakers, fan polls, and predictive models like The Model ever since. Recent first rehearsals in Vienna (clips emerging April 20) and pre-party performances further cemented its lead, showcasing orchestral staging potential for jury and televote appeal. Denmark's emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.8%) benefits from Nordic momentum, while Greece's upbeat "Ferto" by Akylas (10.8%) and France's "Regarde!" by Monroe (10.3%) compete via infectious hooks. Ongoing rehearsals this week could trigger volatility before May 12–16 semis.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$117,069,780
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 37%, followed by "Denmark" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $117.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denmark" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.