Mercedes holds an 87-point lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship after 12 rounds, driven by eight race wins and consistent double podiums from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, who have combined for strong qualifying and points hauls across the season. This early dominance and reliability edge have shaped trader consensus around an 86.5% implied probability for the Silver Arrows. McLaren's recent upgrade packages and consecutive victories have narrowed the pace gap, while Ferrari remains competitive on certain weekends. A sustained McLaren surge, Mercedes reliability setbacks, or late-season development swings could still allow challengers to close the gap before the final race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMercedes 87%
Ferrari 11.3%
McLaren 1.4%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,535,320 Vol.
$28,535,320 Vol.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
87%
Ferrari
11%
McLaren
1%
Red Bull Racing
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Williams
<1%
Audi
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 87%
Ferrari 11.3%
McLaren 1.4%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,535,320 Vol.
$28,535,320 Vol.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
$1,064,280 Vol.
87%
Ferrari
$770,368 Vol.
11%
McLaren
$1,782,934 Vol.
1%
Red Bull Racing
$946,209 Vol.
<1%
Aston Martin
$3,298,219 Vol.
<1%
Williams
$3,809,181 Vol.
<1%
Audi
$3,245,193 Vol.
<1%
Cadillac
$3,708,658 Vol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$3,242,273 Vol.
<1%
Haas
$3,317,067 Vol.
<1%
Alpine
$3,350,937 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds an 87-point lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship after 12 rounds, driven by eight race wins and consistent double podiums from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, who have combined for strong qualifying and points hauls across the season. This early dominance and reliability edge have shaped trader consensus around an 86.5% implied probability for the Silver Arrows. McLaren's recent upgrade packages and consecutive victories have narrowed the pace gap, while Ferrari remains competitive on certain weekends. A sustained McLaren surge, Mercedes reliability setbacks, or late-season development swings could still allow challengers to close the gap before the final race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$28,535,320End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds an 87-point lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship after 12 rounds, driven by eight race wins and consistent double podiums from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, who have combined for strong qualifying and points hauls across the season. This early dominance and reliability edge have shaped trader consensus around an 86.5% implied probability for the Silver Arrows. McLaren's recent upgrade packages and consecutive victories have narrowed the pace gap, while Ferrari remains competitive on certain weekends. A sustained McLaren surge, Mercedes reliability setbacks, or late-season development swings could still allow challengers to close the gap before the final race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$28,535,320End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds an 87-point lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship after 12 rounds, driven by eight race wins and consistent double podiums from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, who have combined for strong qualifying and points hauls across the season. This early dominance and reliability edge have shaped trader consensus around an 86.5% implied probability for the Silver Arrows. McLaren's recent upgrade packages and consecutive victories have narrowed the pace gap, while Ferrari remains competitive on certain weekends. A sustained McLaren surge, Mercedes reliability setbacks, or late-season development swings could still allow challengers to close the gap before the final race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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