Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?

icon for Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?

Jul 25

Jul 26

Jul 27

Jul 25

Jul 26

Jul 27

21°C 37%

22°C 27%

20°C 26%

19°C 11%

Polymarket
NEW

21°C 37%

22°C 27%

20°C 26%

19°C 11%

Polymarket
NEW

17°C or below

$15 Vol.

3%

18°C

$79 Vol.

8%

19°C

$71 Vol.

11%

20°C

$85 Vol.

26%

21°C

$77 Vol.

37%

22°C

$136 Vol.

27%

23°C

$76 Vol.

3%

24°C

$14 Vol.

4%

25°C

$91 Vol.

1%

26°C

$15 Vol.

2%

27°C or higher

$15 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders view the highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27 as most likely 21–22°C due to closely aligned short-range forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. A stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea is expected to limit strong advection of continental warmth, keeping daytime maxima in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies. Recent KNMI surface observations show modest warming trends without extreme heatwave conditions, while model spread centers on minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to frontal timing remain the primary catalysts for further shifts in market-implied odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95
End Date
Jul 27, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders view the highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27 as most likely 21–22°C due to closely aligned short-range forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. A stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea is expected to limit strong advection of continental warmth, keeping daytime maxima in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies. Recent KNMI surface observations show modest warming trends without extreme heatwave conditions, while model spread centers on minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to frontal timing remain the primary catalysts for further shifts in market-implied odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95
End Date
Jul 27, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

icon for Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?

Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?

39%
icon for Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPad revenue be above $6B?

Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPad revenue be above $6B?

95%
icon for Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.5T in 2026?

Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.5T in 2026?

85%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "21°C" at 37%, followed by "22°C" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?" is "21°C" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "22°C" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.