Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 8°C at the central station, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a rare early-May cold snap. An Arctic airmass intrusion, combined with persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds, suppressed daytime heating well below the 20–22°C climatological average for the date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models had accurately converged on 8–9°C in the lead-up, reflecting strong trader alignment with verified data. Only a formal data revision by MGM—such as station equipment recalibration—could realistically challenge this resolution, though such events are exceedingly rare.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Ankara on May 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 2?
8°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$68,920 वॉल्यूम
$68,920 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$68,920 वॉल्यूम
$68,920 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
3°C or below
$1,506 वॉल्यूम
No
4°C
$2,167 वॉल्यूम
No
5°C
$3,108 वॉल्यूम
No
6°C
$4,425 वॉल्यूम
No
7°C
$12,034 वॉल्यूम
No
8°C
$13,170 वॉल्यूम
Yes
9°C
$7,477 वॉल्यूम
No
10°C
$10,262 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$6,064 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$4,297 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C or higher
$4,409 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 8°C at the central station, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a rare early-May cold snap. An Arctic airmass intrusion, combined with persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds, suppressed daytime heating well below the 20–22°C climatological average for the date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models had accurately converged on 8–9°C in the lead-up, reflecting strong trader alignment with verified data. Only a formal data revision by MGM—such as station equipment recalibration—could realistically challenge this resolution, though such events are exceedingly rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$68,920समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 8°C at the central station, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a rare early-May cold snap. An Arctic airmass intrusion, combined with persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds, suppressed daytime heating well below the 20–22°C climatological average for the date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models had accurately converged on 8–9°C in the lead-up, reflecting strong trader alignment with verified data. Only a formal data revision by MGM—such as station equipment recalibration—could realistically challenge this resolution, though such events are exceedingly rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$68,920समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 8°C at the central station, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a rare early-May cold snap. An Arctic airmass intrusion, combined with persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds, suppressed daytime heating well below the 20–22°C climatological average for the date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models had accurately converged on 8–9°C in the lead-up, reflecting strong trader alignment with verified data. Only a formal data revision by MGM—such as station equipment recalibration—could realistically challenge this resolution, though such events are exceedingly rare.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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