National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Austin on May 10?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$149,058 Vol.
$149,058 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$149,058 Vol.
$149,058 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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