Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and other global models place Munich's July 2 maximum near 25°C under sunny intervals and light westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. This aligns with typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C highs, modulated by modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and NOAA global guidance continue to refine short-range runs ahead of resolution, with any late adjustments to surface pressure or insolation likely to determine whether traders favor the current leader or the near-tie outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on July 2?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 2?
25°C 34%
26°C 25%
24°C 15%
27°C 14%
NEU
NEU
2. Juli 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
15%
25°C
34%
26°C
25%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
5%
25°C 34%
26°C 25%
24°C 15%
27°C 14%
NEU
NEU
2. Juli 2026
18°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
19°C
$506 Vol.
1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
1%
21°C
$55 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$117 Vol.
6%
24°C
$62 Vol.
15%
25°C
$288 Vol.
34%
26°C
$129 Vol.
25%
27°C
$175 Vol.
14%
28°C or higher
$228 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and other global models place Munich's July 2 maximum near 25°C under sunny intervals and light westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. This aligns with typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C highs, modulated by modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and NOAA global guidance continue to refine short-range runs ahead of resolution, with any late adjustments to surface pressure or insolation likely to determine whether traders favor the current leader or the near-tie outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,585Enddatum
2. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and other global models place Munich's July 2 maximum near 25°C under sunny intervals and light westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. This aligns with typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C highs, modulated by modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and NOAA global guidance continue to refine short-range runs ahead of resolution, with any late adjustments to surface pressure or insolation likely to determine whether traders favor the current leader or the near-tie outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,585Enddatum
2. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and other global models place Munich's July 2 maximum near 25°C under sunny intervals and light westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. This aligns with typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C highs, modulated by modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and NOAA global guidance continue to refine short-range runs ahead of resolution, with any late adjustments to surface pressure or insolation likely to determine whether traders favor the current leader or the near-tie outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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