Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance for above-normal temperatures through August, combined with current model consensus for early July, positions overnight lows near 27–28°C as the dominant outcome for the July 2 minimum. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and typical monsoon moisture favor limited nocturnal cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps extremes above the 26°C threshold probable. Short-range forecasts indicate daytime highs of 32–33°C with scattered showers that may slightly moderate the daily range but are unlikely to produce significantly cooler nights. Traders weigh these stable patterns against the inherent variability in 48-hour model runs, particularly regarding exact timing of any cloud cover or rainfall that could nudge the minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. Juli?
27°C 100.0%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$72,781 Vol.
$72,781 Vol.
2. Juli 2026
22°C oder darunter
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C oder höher
Nein
27°C 100.0%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$72,781 Vol.
$72,781 Vol.
2. Juli 2026
22°C oder darunter
$424 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$1,430 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$3,038 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$8,479 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$9,933 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$12,292 Vol.
Ja
28°C
$21,457 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$7,744 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$2,351 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$3,826 Vol.
Nein
32°C oder höher
$1,805 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance for above-normal temperatures through August, combined with current model consensus for early July, positions overnight lows near 27–28°C as the dominant outcome for the July 2 minimum. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and typical monsoon moisture favor limited nocturnal cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps extremes above the 26°C threshold probable. Short-range forecasts indicate daytime highs of 32–33°C with scattered showers that may slightly moderate the daily range but are unlikely to produce significantly cooler nights. Traders weigh these stable patterns against the inherent variability in 48-hour model runs, particularly regarding exact timing of any cloud cover or rainfall that could nudge the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$72,781Enddatum
2. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance for above-normal temperatures through August, combined with current model consensus for early July, positions overnight lows near 27–28°C as the dominant outcome for the July 2 minimum. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and typical monsoon moisture favor limited nocturnal cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps extremes above the 26°C threshold probable. Short-range forecasts indicate daytime highs of 32–33°C with scattered showers that may slightly moderate the daily range but are unlikely to produce significantly cooler nights. Traders weigh these stable patterns against the inherent variability in 48-hour model runs, particularly regarding exact timing of any cloud cover or rainfall that could nudge the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$72,781Enddatum
2. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance for above-normal temperatures through August, combined with current model consensus for early July, positions overnight lows near 27–28°C as the dominant outcome for the July 2 minimum. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and typical monsoon moisture favor limited nocturnal cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps extremes above the 26°C threshold probable. Short-range forecasts indicate daytime highs of 32–33°C with scattered showers that may slightly moderate the daily range but are unlikely to produce significantly cooler nights. Traders weigh these stable patterns against the inherent variability in 48-hour model runs, particularly regarding exact timing of any cloud cover or rainfall that could nudge the minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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