Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services such as IPMet and Climatempo indicate a minimum near 14–15°C for São Paulo on August 26, driven by mild winter conditions with persistent cloud cover and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Overcast skies and scattered drizzle reduce heat loss compared to clear nights, while the urban heat island effect in the city center can moderate lows by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Model spreads arise from variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with some global ensembles projecting slightly stronger cooling toward 13°C if skies clear earlier. Official thresholds for resolution typically rely on INMET or airport station readings, leaving narrow room for 13–16°C outcomes based on the final hourly minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 26. August?
15°C 40%
13°C 39%
16°C 26%
14°C 24%
10°C oder niedriger
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
1%
13°C
39%
14°C
24%
15°C
40%
16°C
26%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 40%
13°C 39%
16°C 26%
14°C 24%
10°C oder niedriger
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
1%
13°C
39%
14°C
24%
15°C
40%
16°C
26%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services such as IPMet and Climatempo indicate a minimum near 14–15°C for São Paulo on August 26, driven by mild winter conditions with persistent cloud cover and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Overcast skies and scattered drizzle reduce heat loss compared to clear nights, while the urban heat island effect in the city center can moderate lows by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Model spreads arise from variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with some global ensembles projecting slightly stronger cooling toward 13°C if skies clear earlier. Official thresholds for resolution typically rely on INMET or airport station readings, leaving narrow room for 13–16°C outcomes based on the final hourly minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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