Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the primary reference for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 23°C, aligning with pre-event forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS and ECMWF that projected a daytime peak around 22-23°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and late-autumn cooling patterns. This observational data, collected via standardized mercury or digital thermometers sheltered from direct solar radiation, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, reflecting strong trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are negligible post-resolution but could arise from rare SMN quality-control revisions uncovering sensor malfunctions or discrepancies with secondary stations like Ezeiza, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled daily maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 29?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$93,251 Vol.
$93,251 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$93,251 Vol.
$93,251 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the primary reference for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 23°C, aligning with pre-event forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS and ECMWF that projected a daytime peak around 22-23°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and late-autumn cooling patterns. This observational data, collected via standardized mercury or digital thermometers sheltered from direct solar radiation, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, reflecting strong trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are negligible post-resolution but could arise from rare SMN quality-control revisions uncovering sensor malfunctions or discrepancies with secondary stations like Ezeiza, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled daily maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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