Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 23, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 12–14°C outcomes. Mild mid-winter conditions, typical southeasterly flow, and limited diurnal heating under variable cloud cover keep peak temperatures close to the long-term July average of 14–15°C. Minor model spread arises from timing of any weak frontal boundary or wind shifts that could nudge the high by 1°C either way, while official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data will determine resolution. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical analogs showing infrequent excursions above 16°C this time of year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 23?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 23?
14°C 41%
13°C 26%
15°C 21%
16°C 6.7%
NEW
$16,152 Vol.
NEW
$16,152 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
26%
14°C
41%
15°C
21%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 41%
13°C 26%
15°C 21%
16°C 6.7%
NEW
$16,152 Vol.
NEW
$16,152 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
9°C or below
$2,445 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,408 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$949 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,551 Vol.
4%
13°C
$2,510 Vol.
26%
14°C
$1,299 Vol.
41%
15°C
$1,563 Vol.
21%
16°C
$1,215 Vol.
7%
17°C
$1,736 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,075 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$401 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 23, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 12–14°C outcomes. Mild mid-winter conditions, typical southeasterly flow, and limited diurnal heating under variable cloud cover keep peak temperatures close to the long-term July average of 14–15°C. Minor model spread arises from timing of any weak frontal boundary or wind shifts that could nudge the high by 1°C either way, while official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data will determine resolution. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical analogs showing infrequent excursions above 16°C this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$16,152End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 23, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 12–14°C outcomes. Mild mid-winter conditions, typical southeasterly flow, and limited diurnal heating under variable cloud cover keep peak temperatures close to the long-term July average of 14–15°C. Minor model spread arises from timing of any weak frontal boundary or wind shifts that could nudge the high by 1°C either way, while official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data will determine resolution. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical analogs showing infrequent excursions above 16°C this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,152End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 23, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 12–14°C outcomes. Mild mid-winter conditions, typical southeasterly flow, and limited diurnal heating under variable cloud cover keep peak temperatures close to the long-term July average of 14–15°C. Minor model spread arises from timing of any weak frontal boundary or wind shifts that could nudge the high by 1°C either way, while official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data will determine resolution. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical analogs showing infrequent excursions above 16°C this time of year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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