Official meteorological observations from Argentine weather agencies recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C in Buenos Aires on June 15, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This aligns with regional winter patterns, where daily highs typically range 12–16°C amid stable high-pressure systems and limited solar heating in the Southern Hemisphere. Forecasters and traders incorporated model guidance and historical climatology showing minimal deviation risk from this value. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions to station data or instrument calibration issues, though such adjustments occur infrequently and rarely shift results by more than 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 15?
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$35,482 Vol.
$35,482 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$35,482 Vol.
$35,482 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from Argentine weather agencies recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C in Buenos Aires on June 15, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This aligns with regional winter patterns, where daily highs typically range 12–16°C amid stable high-pressure systems and limited solar heating in the Southern Hemisphere. Forecasters and traders incorporated model guidance and historical climatology showing minimal deviation risk from this value. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions to station data or instrument calibration issues, though such adjustments occur infrequently and rarely shift results by more than 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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