Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm a daily maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 11, 2026, driving the market’s 100% consensus on that outcome. Early-summer conditions ahead of East Asian monsoon onset, combined with clear skies and light southwesterly flow, enabled daytime warming consistent with numerical weather prediction guidance and historical climatology for mid-June. Traders incorporated real-time station data and short-range forecasts once they converged on the exact threshold. Only an improbable post-hoc data revision or measurement error at primary observing sites could alter resolution, highlighting how prediction markets efficiently aggregate authoritative meteorological records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on June 11?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,100 Vol.
$60,100 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,100 Vol.
$60,100 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm a daily maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 11, 2026, driving the market’s 100% consensus on that outcome. Early-summer conditions ahead of East Asian monsoon onset, combined with clear skies and light southwesterly flow, enabled daytime warming consistent with numerical weather prediction guidance and historical climatology for mid-June. Traders incorporated real-time station data and short-range forecasts once they converged on the exact threshold. Only an improbable post-hoc data revision or measurement error at primary observing sites could alter resolution, highlighting how prediction markets efficiently aggregate authoritative meteorological records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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