**Trader sentiment for Munich's highest temperature on July 26, 2026, centers on mid-20s Celsius outcomes because short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS consistently project daily maxima of 24–26 °C (75–79 °F).** This aligns with climatological normals for late July in southern Bavaria, where the average high is approximately 23–24 °C. Recent model runs show a relatively stable pattern of weak high pressure or neutral flow, with possible isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover that would limit strong daytime heating. The closely matched 26 °C (29 %) and 27 °C (28 %) probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty arising from small differences in the timing and strength of any passing fronts or diurnal temperature evolution. The just-resolved July 18 market, which settled at exactly 26 °C, provides a recent analog reinforcing the current range. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any minor shifts in ensemble spread rather than long-term averages or earlier heatwave signals from mid-July.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on July 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 26?
27°C 33%
26°C 25%
28°C 19%
25°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jul 26, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C
25%
27°C
33%
28°C
19%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 33%
26°C 25%
28°C 19%
25°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jul 26, 2026
22°C or below
$644 Vol.
1%
23°C
$293 Vol.
3%
24°C
$139 Vol.
6%
25°C
$102 Vol.
14%
26°C
$230 Vol.
25%
27°C
$238 Vol.
33%
28°C
$675 Vol.
19%
29°C
$211 Vol.
6%
30°C
$35 Vol.
2%
31°C
$61 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$65 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Munich's highest temperature on July 26, 2026, centers on mid-20s Celsius outcomes because short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS consistently project daily maxima of 24–26 °C (75–79 °F).**
This aligns with climatological normals for late July in southern Bavaria, where the average high is approximately 23–24 °C. Recent model runs show a relatively stable pattern of weak high pressure or neutral flow, with possible isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover that would limit strong daytime heating. The closely matched 26 °C (29 %) and 27 °C (28 %) probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty arising from small differences in the timing and strength of any passing fronts or diurnal temperature evolution.
The just-resolved July 18 market, which settled at exactly 26 °C, provides a recent analog reinforcing the current range. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any minor shifts in ensemble spread rather than long-term averages or earlier heatwave signals from mid-July.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,693End Date
Jul 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Munich's highest temperature on July 26, 2026, centers on mid-20s Celsius outcomes because short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS consistently project daily maxima of 24–26 °C (75–79 °F).**
This aligns with climatological normals for late July in southern Bavaria, where the average high is approximately 23–24 °C. Recent model runs show a relatively stable pattern of weak high pressure or neutral flow, with possible isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover that would limit strong daytime heating. The closely matched 26 °C (29 %) and 27 °C (28 %) probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty arising from small differences in the timing and strength of any passing fronts or diurnal temperature evolution.
The just-resolved July 18 market, which settled at exactly 26 °C, provides a recent analog reinforcing the current range. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any minor shifts in ensemble spread rather than long-term averages or earlier heatwave signals from mid-July.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,693End Date
Jul 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Munich's highest temperature on July 26, 2026, centers on mid-20s Celsius outcomes because short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS consistently project daily maxima of 24–26 °C (75–79 °F).** This aligns with climatological normals for late July in southern Bavaria, where the average high is approximately 23–24 °C. Recent model runs show a relatively stable pattern of weak high pressure or neutral flow, with possible isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover that would limit strong daytime heating. The closely matched 26 °C (29 %) and 27 °C (28 %) probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty arising from small differences in the timing and strength of any passing fronts or diurnal temperature evolution. The just-resolved July 18 market, which settled at exactly 26 °C, provides a recent analog reinforcing the current range. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any minor shifts in ensemble spread rather than long-term averages or earlier heatwave signals from mid-July.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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