Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to daytime maxima in the 33–36°C range on July 24, with model consensus split on whether afternoon heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies pushes the official reading to 35°C or 36°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat island effects, favor strong diurnal warming, while typical monsoon-season convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms could limit the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts materially alter the daily maximum measured at official stations. Updated CWA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on July 24?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 24?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$71,989 Vol.
$71,989 Vol.
Jul 24, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$71,989 Vol.
$71,989 Vol.
Jul 24, 2026
29°C or below
$1,021 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,021 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,562 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,335 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,806 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,797 Vol.
No
35°C
$15,871 Vol.
No
36°C
$11,753 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$7,607 Vol.
No
38°C
$8,413 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$8,803 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to daytime maxima in the 33–36°C range on July 24, with model consensus split on whether afternoon heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies pushes the official reading to 35°C or 36°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat island effects, favor strong diurnal warming, while typical monsoon-season convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms could limit the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts materially alter the daily maximum measured at official stations. Updated CWA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$71,989End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to daytime maxima in the 33–36°C range on July 24, with model consensus split on whether afternoon heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies pushes the official reading to 35°C or 36°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat island effects, favor strong diurnal warming, while typical monsoon-season convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms could limit the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts materially alter the daily maximum measured at official stations. Updated CWA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71,989End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to daytime maxima in the 33–36°C range on July 24, with model consensus split on whether afternoon heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies pushes the official reading to 35°C or 36°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat island effects, favor strong diurnal warming, while typical monsoon-season convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms could limit the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts materially alter the daily maximum measured at official stations. Updated CWA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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