Current forecasts for Qingdao indicate light rain or overcast conditions on July 26, 2026, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 28–29°C under marine influence from the Yellow Sea and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, as sea breezes and humidity typically moderate peaks while any breaks in cloud or lighter precipitation could allow brief warming toward 33°C or higher. Regional pressure patterns and steering flows from upstream systems add uncertainty, with historical July averages near 28–29°C providing baseline context; official resolution will hinge on the precise highest hourly reading from the primary meteorological station amid these variable atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 26?
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
33°C or higher 27%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
32%
33°C or higher
27%
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
33°C or higher 27%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
32%
33°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Qingdao indicate light rain or overcast conditions on July 26, 2026, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 28–29°C under marine influence from the Yellow Sea and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, as sea breezes and humidity typically moderate peaks while any breaks in cloud or lighter precipitation could allow brief warming toward 33°C or higher. Regional pressure patterns and steering flows from upstream systems add uncertainty, with historical July averages near 28–29°C providing baseline context; official resolution will hinge on the precise highest hourly reading from the primary meteorological station amid these variable atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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