Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on May 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 12?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$103,001 交易量
$103,001 交易量
2026-05-12
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$103,001 交易量
$103,001 交易量
2026-05-12
15°C or below
$1,843 交易量
No
16°C
$1,879 交易量
No
17°C
$8,162 交易量
No
18°C
$12,308 交易量
No
19°C
$10,839 交易量
No
20°C
$15,170 交易量
No
21°C
$12,024 交易量
Yes
22°C
$14,660 交易量
No
23°C
$7,712 交易量
No
24°C
$8,501 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$9,905 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$103,001結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$103,001結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions