Recent weather model consensus and observational data from agencies tracking the Western Cape have converged on a maximum of 16°C for Cape Town on June 14, 2026, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions with limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies and south-westerly flow. Historical June averages near 18°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest insolation have kept readings suppressed, with no significant warm advection or berg wind development evident in the latest runs. Trader positioning at 99.9% for 16°C mirrors this high-confidence forecast window, though resolution could shift if late-day observations exceed the threshold due to localized clearing or instrument calibration differences at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 14?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 14?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$29,783 Vol.
$29,783 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$29,783 Vol.
$29,783 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
9°C or below
$1,615 Vol.
No
10°C
$231 Vol.
No
11°C
$639 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,697 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,854 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,874 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,464 Vol.
No
16°C
$6,104 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$4,479 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,742 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$1,085 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus and observational data from agencies tracking the Western Cape have converged on a maximum of 16°C for Cape Town on June 14, 2026, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions with limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies and south-westerly flow. Historical June averages near 18°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest insolation have kept readings suppressed, with no significant warm advection or berg wind development evident in the latest runs. Trader positioning at 99.9% for 16°C mirrors this high-confidence forecast window, though resolution could shift if late-day observations exceed the threshold due to localized clearing or instrument calibration differences at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$29,783End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus and observational data from agencies tracking the Western Cape have converged on a maximum of 16°C for Cape Town on June 14, 2026, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions with limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies and south-westerly flow. Historical June averages near 18°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest insolation have kept readings suppressed, with no significant warm advection or berg wind development evident in the latest runs. Trader positioning at 99.9% for 16°C mirrors this high-confidence forecast window, though resolution could shift if late-day observations exceed the threshold due to localized clearing or instrument calibration differences at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,783End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent weather model consensus and observational data from agencies tracking the Western Cape have converged on a maximum of 16°C for Cape Town on June 14, 2026, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions with limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies and south-westerly flow. Historical June averages near 18°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest insolation have kept readings suppressed, with no significant warm advection or berg wind development evident in the latest runs. Trader positioning at 99.9% for 16°C mirrors this high-confidence forecast window, though resolution could shift if late-day observations exceed the threshold due to localized clearing or instrument calibration differences at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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