Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,352 ปริมาณ
$62,352 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,352 ปริมาณ
$62,352 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
12°C or below
$1,348 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$959 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$1,190 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$570 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,871 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$1,114 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$11,658 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$18,281 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$10,721 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$6,430 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$8,210 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,352วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,352วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย