Current numerical weather prediction models from authoritative agencies, including ensemble runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 31°C in Chengdu on May 22 under stable high-pressure dominance and limited warm-air advection over Sichuan province. This aligns with May climatology for the region, where afternoon highs typically range 27–33°C and rarely breach 35°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced southerly flow. Partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity further support the narrow 30–32°C consensus range, with official monitoring confirming no rapid intensification signals. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data convergence, though minor forecast revisions from updated model runs or localized convective activity could still shift the observed high by 1–2°C before daily resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 22?
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$88,593 交易量
$88,593 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$88,593 交易量
$88,593 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 20, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current numerical weather prediction models from authoritative agencies, including ensemble runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 31°C in Chengdu on May 22 under stable high-pressure dominance and limited warm-air advection over Sichuan province. This aligns with May climatology for the region, where afternoon highs typically range 27–33°C and rarely breach 35°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced southerly flow. Partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity further support the narrow 30–32°C consensus range, with official monitoring confirming no rapid intensification signals. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data convergence, though minor forecast revisions from updated model runs or localized convective activity could still shift the observed high by 1–2°C before daily resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions