**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 1 high temperature centers on the 94–97°F range because long-range models and climatological data point to near-normal summer conditions under subtropical high pressure.** Historical averages place the July 1 maximum at 95°F, with July typically featuring highs of 96–97°F amid abundant sunshine and southeasterly flow. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor above-normal warmth for the period, yet short-term variability from Gulf moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, or weak disturbances can trim peak readings by 1–3°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the mid-90s, producing the near-even split between the two leading bins while keeping lower (≤93°F) and higher (≥98°F) outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Official National Weather Service updates and model runs in the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately set the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月1日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
7月1日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
96-97華氏度 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91華氏度 <1%
$57,641 交易量
$57,641 交易量
2026-07-01
87°F或以下
否
88-89°F
否
90-91華氏度
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97華氏度
是
98-99華氏度
否
華氏100-101度
否
102-103°F
否
104-105°F
否
106°F或更高
否
96-97華氏度 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91華氏度 <1%
$57,641 交易量
$57,641 交易量
2026-07-01
87°F或以下
$4,555 交易量
否
88-89°F
$2,375 交易量
否
90-91華氏度
$14,390 交易量
否
92-93°F
$7,409 交易量
否
94-95°F
$5,742 交易量
否
96-97華氏度
$7,912 交易量
是
98-99華氏度
$3,807 交易量
否
華氏100-101度
$1,926 交易量
否
102-103°F
$3,040 交易量
否
104-105°F
$2,554 交易量
否
106°F或更高
$3,932 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 1 high temperature centers on the 94–97°F range because long-range models and climatological data point to near-normal summer conditions under subtropical high pressure.** Historical averages place the July 1 maximum at 95°F, with July typically featuring highs of 96–97°F amid abundant sunshine and southeasterly flow. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor above-normal warmth for the period, yet short-term variability from Gulf moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, or weak disturbances can trim peak readings by 1–3°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the mid-90s, producing the near-even split between the two leading bins while keeping lower (≤93°F) and higher (≥98°F) outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Official National Weather Service updates and model runs in the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately set the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$57,641結束日期
2026-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 1 high temperature centers on the 94–97°F range because long-range models and climatological data point to near-normal summer conditions under subtropical high pressure.** Historical averages place the July 1 maximum at 95°F, with July typically featuring highs of 96–97°F amid abundant sunshine and southeasterly flow. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor above-normal warmth for the period, yet short-term variability from Gulf moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, or weak disturbances can trim peak readings by 1–3°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the mid-90s, producing the near-even split between the two leading bins while keeping lower (≤93°F) and higher (≥98°F) outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Official National Weather Service updates and model runs in the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately set the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57,641結束日期
2026-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 1 high temperature centers on the 94–97°F range because long-range models and climatological data point to near-normal summer conditions under subtropical high pressure.** Historical averages place the July 1 maximum at 95°F, with July typically featuring highs of 96–97°F amid abundant sunshine and southeasterly flow. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor above-normal warmth for the period, yet short-term variability from Gulf moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, or weak disturbances can trim peak readings by 1–3°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the mid-90s, producing the near-even split between the two leading bins while keeping lower (≤93°F) and higher (≥98°F) outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Official National Weather Service updates and model runs in the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately set the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions