Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 18, with 29°C leading at 27.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C (24%) and 30°C (20.5%), driven by recent China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather model runs projecting highs of 30-32°C under partly sunny skies following thunderstorms earlier in the week. Differentiating factors include potential lingering cloud cover suppressing peaks by 1-2°C, variable southerly winds enhancing warm air advection from the Yangtze basin, and urban heat island effects at Jiangbei International Airport amid spring's subtropical monsoon transition. Historical April averages hover near 23°C, but this week's mid-20s°C highs signal above-normal warmth; new GFS/ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours could shift the balance as boundary layer stability clarifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 18?
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
28°C 24%
27°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
14%
28°C
24%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
28°C 24%
27°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
14%
28°C
24%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 18, with 29°C leading at 27.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C (24%) and 30°C (20.5%), driven by recent China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather model runs projecting highs of 30-32°C under partly sunny skies following thunderstorms earlier in the week. Differentiating factors include potential lingering cloud cover suppressing peaks by 1-2°C, variable southerly winds enhancing warm air advection from the Yangtze basin, and urban heat island effects at Jiangbei International Airport amid spring's subtropical monsoon transition. Historical April averages hover near 23°C, but this week's mid-20s°C highs signal above-normal warmth; new GFS/ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours could shift the balance as boundary layer stability clarifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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