Trader consensus has locked in 28°C at virtually 100% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 19, driven by hourly observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's official resolution station via Wunderground—peaking at 28°C mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies. China Meteorological Administration data and METAR reports confirm this diurnal maximum amid a recent warm spell, with earlier forecasts of 31–32°C revised downward due to encroaching rain systems and moderating southerly flows. Historical April averages hover around 23°C, contextualizing today's mild outlier. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day convective burst pushing 29°C before sunset, though current cooling trends and cloud cover make this improbable; final daily records expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 19?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$90,131 Vol.
$90,131 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$90,131 Vol.
$90,131 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has locked in 28°C at virtually 100% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 19, driven by hourly observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's official resolution station via Wunderground—peaking at 28°C mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies. China Meteorological Administration data and METAR reports confirm this diurnal maximum amid a recent warm spell, with earlier forecasts of 31–32°C revised downward due to encroaching rain systems and moderating southerly flows. Historical April averages hover around 23°C, contextualizing today's mild outlier. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day convective burst pushing 29°C before sunset, though current cooling trends and cloud cover make this improbable; final daily records expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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