Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 26?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,739 Vol.
$73,739 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,739 Vol.
$73,739 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
19°C or below
$2,559 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,035 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,145 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,519 Vol.
No
23°C
$9,369 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,611 Vol.
No
25°C
$17,903 Vol.
No
26°C
$13,952 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$7,099 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,733 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$8,814 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volume
$73,739End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,739End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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