Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on July 23?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 23?
30°C 42%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 23, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
22%
30°C
42%
31°C
27%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 42%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 23, 2026
26°C or below
$1,048 Vol.
1%
27°C
$119 Vol.
2%
28°C
$261 Vol.
6%
29°C
$489 Vol.
22%
30°C
$264 Vol.
42%
31°C
$694 Vol.
27%
32°C
$375 Vol.
4%
33°C
$408 Vol.
2%
34°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,046End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,046End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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