Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily high of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 2 under predominantly clear to sunny conditions with light winds and low precipitation probability, supporting the market's tight clustering around the 34–35°C outcomes. Persistent high-pressure patterns and regional subsidence are sustaining daytime heating near late-summer norms, while modest model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer moisture accounts for the near-even implied probabilities between 34°C and 35°C. Historical early-September averages hover near 33–34°C, with current guidance showing slightly above-normal values but no strong signals for extremes above 36°C or rapid cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 2?
35°C 27%
34°C 26%
36°C 18%
33°C 16%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
16%
34°C
26%
35°C
27%
36°C
18%
37°C
10%
38°C or higher
9%
35°C 27%
34°C 26%
36°C 18%
33°C 16%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
16%
34°C
26%
35°C
27%
36°C
18%
37°C
10%
38°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily high of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 2 under predominantly clear to sunny conditions with light winds and low precipitation probability, supporting the market's tight clustering around the 34–35°C outcomes. Persistent high-pressure patterns and regional subsidence are sustaining daytime heating near late-summer norms, while modest model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer moisture accounts for the near-even implied probabilities between 34°C and 35°C. Historical early-September averages hover near 33–34°C, with current guidance showing slightly above-normal values but no strong signals for extremes above 36°C or rapid cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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