Recent forecast models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's overnight low for September 2, with trader consensus tightly clustered around 20–22°C and closely matched probabilities reflecting this narrow range. Subtropical high-pressure influences, residual summer moisture from the Yangtze basin, and variable wind patterns typical of early-September seasonal transition can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. Official agency guidance notes how cloud cover and local topography affect radiational cooling rates, while historical baselines place typical early-September lows near 21°C. Updated model runs and station observations in the coming days will likely narrow the spread before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 2?
22°C 99%
23°C 99%
25°C 99%
24°C 83%
17°C or below
14%
18°C
76%
19°C
63%
20°C
45%
21°C
55%
22°C
99%
23°C
99%
24°C
83%
25°C
99%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
12%
22°C 99%
23°C 99%
25°C 99%
24°C 83%
17°C or below
14%
18°C
76%
19°C
63%
20°C
45%
21°C
55%
22°C
99%
23°C
99%
24°C
83%
25°C
99%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's overnight low for September 2, with trader consensus tightly clustered around 20–22°C and closely matched probabilities reflecting this narrow range. Subtropical high-pressure influences, residual summer moisture from the Yangtze basin, and variable wind patterns typical of early-September seasonal transition can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. Official agency guidance notes how cloud cover and local topography affect radiational cooling rates, while historical baselines place typical early-September lows near 21°C. Updated model runs and station observations in the coming days will likely narrow the spread before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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