**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 92–95°F for Dallas’s June 22 high, reflecting official guidance from NWS and private models showing near-normal to slightly above-average conditions under persistent upper-level high pressure.** This ridge promotes strong daytime radiative heating and southerly flow of Gulf moisture, with forecast highs near the 92°F climatological normal for late June. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of any scattered afternoon convection, which can reduce insolation and cap temperatures by 1–3°F, versus clearer skies that allow fuller boundary-layer mixing and higher maxima. Dew-point levels near 70°F support high heat indices but also modest capping, while subtle model differences in low-level wind and cloud trends create the narrow spread between the leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Updated NWS forecast discussions and next model runs will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on June 22?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$54,067 Vol.
$54,067 Vol.
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$54,067 Vol.
$54,067 Vol.
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 92–95°F for Dallas’s June 22 high, reflecting official guidance from NWS and private models showing near-normal to slightly above-average conditions under persistent upper-level high pressure.** This ridge promotes strong daytime radiative heating and southerly flow of Gulf moisture, with forecast highs near the 92°F climatological normal for late June. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of any scattered afternoon convection, which can reduce insolation and cap temperatures by 1–3°F, versus clearer skies that allow fuller boundary-layer mixing and higher maxima. Dew-point levels near 70°F support high heat indices but also modest capping, while subtle model differences in low-level wind and cloud trends create the narrow spread between the leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Updated NWS forecast discussions and next model runs will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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