Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs from the past 24 hours, project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 30–32°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, positioning 31°C as the trader-favored outcome at 35% implied probability amid clustered sentiment around 29–32°C. This reflects recent above-normal warmth in Guangdong Province, where highs have exceeded the April climatological average of 26°C, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and minimal cold air intrusions. Forecast uncertainty persists due to variable afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze effects that could cap peaks at 29–30°C or allow slight intensification to 32°C; China Meteorological Administration updates and Baiyun Airport observations will provide hourly clarity as the day unfolds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 18?
31°C 35%
30°C 24%
29°C 22%
32°C 15%
NEW
$10,972 Vol.
NEW
$10,972 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
28°C or below
10%
29°C
22%
30°C
24%
31°C
35%
32°C
15%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 24%
29°C 22%
32°C 15%
NEW
$10,972 Vol.
NEW
$10,972 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
28°C or below
$1,435 Vol.
10%
29°C
$728 Vol.
22%
30°C
$370 Vol.
24%
31°C
$492 Vol.
35%
32°C
$578 Vol.
15%
33°C
$357 Vol.
12%
34°C
$583 Vol.
2%
35°C
$3,124 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$989 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,131 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,185 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs from the past 24 hours, project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 30–32°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, positioning 31°C as the trader-favored outcome at 35% implied probability amid clustered sentiment around 29–32°C. This reflects recent above-normal warmth in Guangdong Province, where highs have exceeded the April climatological average of 26°C, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and minimal cold air intrusions. Forecast uncertainty persists due to variable afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze effects that could cap peaks at 29–30°C or allow slight intensification to 32°C; China Meteorological Administration updates and Baiyun Airport observations will provide hourly clarity as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ET
Volume
$10,972End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs from the past 24 hours, project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 30–32°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, positioning 31°C as the trader-favored outcome at 35% implied probability amid clustered sentiment around 29–32°C. This reflects recent above-normal warmth in Guangdong Province, where highs have exceeded the April climatological average of 26°C, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and minimal cold air intrusions. Forecast uncertainty persists due to variable afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze effects that could cap peaks at 29–30°C or allow slight intensification to 32°C; China Meteorological Administration updates and Baiyun Airport observations will provide hourly clarity as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,972End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs from the past 24 hours, project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 30–32°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, positioning 31°C as the trader-favored outcome at 35% implied probability amid clustered sentiment around 29–32°C. This reflects recent above-normal warmth in Guangdong Province, where highs have exceeded the April climatological average of 26°C, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and minimal cold air intrusions. Forecast uncertainty persists due to variable afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze effects that could cap peaks at 29–30°C or allow slight intensification to 32°C; China Meteorological Administration updates and Baiyun Airport observations will provide hourly clarity as the day unfolds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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