Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show maxima clustered around 29–32°C for Guangzhou on July 30, with widespread moderate rain and thunderstorms expected to increase cloud cover and reduce surface heating. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with steering patterns that favor onshore flow or frontal passage, limits diurnal temperature rise and introduces model spread on exact precipitation timing and intensity. Official guidance from agencies highlights this variability, as stronger or more persistent storms could cap peaks near 29°C while clearer breaks might allow brief climbs to 32°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 30°C because it aligns with the central tendency of current runs, though updated model outputs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 30?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 30?
31°C 20%
29°C 20%
30°C 19%
32°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
20%
30°C
19%
31°C
20%
32°C
18%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
6%
31°C 20%
29°C 20%
30°C 19%
32°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$198 Vol.
1%
26°C
$248 Vol.
1%
27°C
$256 Vol.
2%
28°C
$81 Vol.
6%
29°C
$33 Vol.
20%
30°C
$8 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$0 Vol.
18%
33°C
$113 Vol.
12%
34°C or higher
$15 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show maxima clustered around 29–32°C for Guangzhou on July 30, with widespread moderate rain and thunderstorms expected to increase cloud cover and reduce surface heating. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with steering patterns that favor onshore flow or frontal passage, limits diurnal temperature rise and introduces model spread on exact precipitation timing and intensity. Official guidance from agencies highlights this variability, as stronger or more persistent storms could cap peaks near 29°C while clearer breaks might allow brief climbs to 32°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 30°C because it aligns with the central tendency of current runs, though updated model outputs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$952End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show maxima clustered around 29–32°C for Guangzhou on July 30, with widespread moderate rain and thunderstorms expected to increase cloud cover and reduce surface heating. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with steering patterns that favor onshore flow or frontal passage, limits diurnal temperature rise and introduces model spread on exact precipitation timing and intensity. Official guidance from agencies highlights this variability, as stronger or more persistent storms could cap peaks near 29°C while clearer breaks might allow brief climbs to 32°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 30°C because it aligns with the central tendency of current runs, though updated model outputs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$952End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show maxima clustered around 29–32°C for Guangzhou on July 30, with widespread moderate rain and thunderstorms expected to increase cloud cover and reduce surface heating. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with steering patterns that favor onshore flow or frontal passage, limits diurnal temperature rise and introduces model spread on exact precipitation timing and intensity. Official guidance from agencies highlights this variability, as stronger or more persistent storms could cap peaks near 29°C while clearer breaks might allow brief climbs to 32°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 30°C because it aligns with the central tendency of current runs, though updated model outputs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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