Recent meteorological data and forecast models from agencies tracking subtropical ridge influences over southern China have aligned closely on a daily maximum of 33°C for Guangzhou on June 8, supporting the market's near-certain outcome. Typical early June climatology in the region features afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius amid high humidity, with current steering patterns and solar heating favoring this threshold over lower or higher values. Strong trader consensus reflects verified observational consistency rather than speculation, though scenarios such as heavier-than-expected convective rainfall suppressing temperatures or minor revisions in official station readings could still introduce limited variance before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 8?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$102,460 Vol.
$102,460 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$102,460 Vol.
$102,460 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological data and forecast models from agencies tracking subtropical ridge influences over southern China have aligned closely on a daily maximum of 33°C for Guangzhou on June 8, supporting the market's near-certain outcome. Typical early June climatology in the region features afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius amid high humidity, with current steering patterns and solar heating favoring this threshold over lower or higher values. Strong trader consensus reflects verified observational consistency rather than speculation, though scenarios such as heavier-than-expected convective rainfall suppressing temperatures or minor revisions in official station readings could still introduce limited variance before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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