Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 31?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 31?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$90,223 Vol.
$90,223 Vol.
May 31, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$90,223 Vol.
$90,223 Vol.
May 31, 2026
28°C or below
$9,365 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,644 Vol.
No
30°C
$12,538 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,523 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,257 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,664 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,643 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$9,308 Vol.
No
36°C
$13,292 Vol.
No
37°C
$6,827 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$3,162 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$90,223End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90,223End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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