Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and global model consensus converged on a daytime maximum of 33°C for June 2 under typical early-summer anticyclonic conditions and persistently above-normal temperatures across southern China. This aligns with 2026’s broader warming trend, which has elevated seasonal averages several degrees above the long-term June baseline of roughly 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 100% for the 33°C outcome reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment from authoritative sources. Minor local variations in urban heat-island effects or final official recording adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such shifts are historically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 2?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$339,129 Vol.
$339,129 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$339,129 Vol.
$339,129 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
24°C or below
$1,632 Vol.
No
25°C
$442 Vol.
No
26°C
$226 Vol.
No
27°C
$414 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,546 Vol.
No
29°C
$22,058 Vol.
No
30°C
$114,775 Vol.
No
31°C
$89,469 Vol.
No
32°C
$35,799 Vol.
No
33°C
$43,196 Vol.
Yes
34°C or higher
$29,572 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and global model consensus converged on a daytime maximum of 33°C for June 2 under typical early-summer anticyclonic conditions and persistently above-normal temperatures across southern China. This aligns with 2026’s broader warming trend, which has elevated seasonal averages several degrees above the long-term June baseline of roughly 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 100% for the 33°C outcome reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment from authoritative sources. Minor local variations in urban heat-island effects or final official recording adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such shifts are historically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$339,129End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and global model consensus converged on a daytime maximum of 33°C for June 2 under typical early-summer anticyclonic conditions and persistently above-normal temperatures across southern China. This aligns with 2026’s broader warming trend, which has elevated seasonal averages several degrees above the long-term June baseline of roughly 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 100% for the 33°C outcome reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment from authoritative sources. Minor local variations in urban heat-island effects or final official recording adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such shifts are historically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$339,129End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and global model consensus converged on a daytime maximum of 33°C for June 2 under typical early-summer anticyclonic conditions and persistently above-normal temperatures across southern China. This aligns with 2026’s broader warming trend, which has elevated seasonal averages several degrees above the long-term June baseline of roughly 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 100% for the 33°C outcome reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment from authoritative sources. Minor local variations in urban heat-island effects or final official recording adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such shifts are historically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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