Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a maximum air temperature of 29°C at its headquarters station on May 7, 2026—the precise measurement defining market resolution and driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatological norms for May, where mean maximum temperatures average around 29°C amid normal to above-normal conditions forecasted by HKO, following a cooler May 6 peak of 24.2°C under cloudier skies. Sunny intervals and southerly airflow likely enabled daytime heating to this typical level, consistent with recent model guidance projecting up to 29°C. While HKO data carries authoritative finality, an extraordinarily rare measurement revision could theoretically challenge positioning, though no such precedents exist for standard observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 7?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$442,408 Vol.
$442,408 Vol.
May 7, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$442,408 Vol.
$442,408 Vol.
May 7, 2026
22°C or below
$18,852 Vol.
No
23°C
$13,425 Vol.
No
24°C
$32,135 Vol.
No
25°C
$43,900 Vol.
No
26°C
$72,874 Vol.
No
27°C
$64,242 Vol.
No
28°C
$61,978 Vol.
No
29°C
$46,659 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$64,749 Vol.
No
31°C
$16,946 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$6,648 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a maximum air temperature of 29°C at its headquarters station on May 7, 2026—the precise measurement defining market resolution and driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatological norms for May, where mean maximum temperatures average around 29°C amid normal to above-normal conditions forecasted by HKO, following a cooler May 6 peak of 24.2°C under cloudier skies. Sunny intervals and southerly airflow likely enabled daytime heating to this typical level, consistent with recent model guidance projecting up to 29°C. While HKO data carries authoritative finality, an extraordinarily rare measurement revision could theoretically challenge positioning, though no such precedents exist for standard observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$442,408End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a maximum air temperature of 29°C at its headquarters station on May 7, 2026—the precise measurement defining market resolution and driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatological norms for May, where mean maximum temperatures average around 29°C amid normal to above-normal conditions forecasted by HKO, following a cooler May 6 peak of 24.2°C under cloudier skies. Sunny intervals and southerly airflow likely enabled daytime heating to this typical level, consistent with recent model guidance projecting up to 29°C. While HKO data carries authoritative finality, an extraordinarily rare measurement revision could theoretically challenge positioning, though no such precedents exist for standard observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$442,408End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a maximum air temperature of 29°C at its headquarters station on May 7, 2026—the precise measurement defining market resolution and driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatological norms for May, where mean maximum temperatures average around 29°C amid normal to above-normal conditions forecasted by HKO, following a cooler May 6 peak of 24.2°C under cloudier skies. Sunny intervals and southerly airflow likely enabled daytime heating to this typical level, consistent with recent model guidance projecting up to 29°C. While HKO data carries authoritative finality, an extraordinarily rare measurement revision could theoretically challenge positioning, though no such precedents exist for standard observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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