Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston points to a hot, humid late-July pattern under a building heat dome, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the market leader with implied odds near 46%. Normal high temperatures for July 28 sit at 95°F per 1991-2020 climatology, while current model consensus favors daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 90s with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest afternoon heating. Recent observations show no 100°F readings yet in 2026 and only isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap temperatures slightly below forecast peaks, keeping the 98-99°F tier at 20% and higher outcomes under 6%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of tomorrow’s observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on July 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 28?
96-97°F 46%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 28, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
46%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
2%
104°F or higher
4%
96-97°F 46%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 28, 2026
85°F or below
$13 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$13 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$13 Vol.
7%
94-95°F
$48 Vol.
34%
96-97°F
$81 Vol.
46%
98-99°F
$46 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$13 Vol.
5%
102-103°F
$36 Vol.
2%
104°F or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston points to a hot, humid late-July pattern under a building heat dome, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the market leader with implied odds near 46%. Normal high temperatures for July 28 sit at 95°F per 1991-2020 climatology, while current model consensus favors daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 90s with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest afternoon heating. Recent observations show no 100°F readings yet in 2026 and only isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap temperatures slightly below forecast peaks, keeping the 98-99°F tier at 20% and higher outcomes under 6%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of tomorrow’s observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$277End Date
Jul 28, 2026Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston points to a hot, humid late-July pattern under a building heat dome, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the market leader with implied odds near 46%. Normal high temperatures for July 28 sit at 95°F per 1991-2020 climatology, while current model consensus favors daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 90s with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest afternoon heating. Recent observations show no 100°F readings yet in 2026 and only isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap temperatures slightly below forecast peaks, keeping the 98-99°F tier at 20% and higher outcomes under 6%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of tomorrow’s observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$277End Date
Jul 28, 2026Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston points to a hot, humid late-July pattern under a building heat dome, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the market leader with implied odds near 46%. Normal high temperatures for July 28 sit at 95°F per 1991-2020 climatology, while current model consensus favors daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 90s with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest afternoon heating. Recent observations show no 100°F readings yet in 2026 and only isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap temperatures slightly below forecast peaks, keeping the 98-99°F tier at 20% and higher outcomes under 6%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of tomorrow’s observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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