The dominant market consensus on an 82-83°F high for Houston on June 15, 2026, reflects the official observation from the primary reporting station, well below the long-term June average of 91-92°F. A cold front advancing into Southeast Texas introduced northerly flow and increased cloud cover, limiting daytime heating despite typical early-summer solar angles. Forecasters had anticipated this shift days earlier, with model consensus correctly projecting highs in the low 80s amid showers and reduced insolation. This outcome aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages in mid-June that temporarily suppress temperatures by 8-12°F. The positioning would face realistic revision only if post-event quality-control adjustments to the station data shifted the verified maximum outside that narrow bin, though such changes are uncommon once preliminary reports are issued.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on June 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 15?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,817 Vol.
$45,817 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,817 Vol.
$45,817 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
75°F or below
$2,240 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,232 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$3,255 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,936 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$8,434 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$4,010 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$4,505 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$5,106 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$4,500 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$7,218 Vol.
No
94°F or higher
$2,381 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on an 82-83°F high for Houston on June 15, 2026, reflects the official observation from the primary reporting station, well below the long-term June average of 91-92°F. A cold front advancing into Southeast Texas introduced northerly flow and increased cloud cover, limiting daytime heating despite typical early-summer solar angles. Forecasters had anticipated this shift days earlier, with model consensus correctly projecting highs in the low 80s amid showers and reduced insolation. This outcome aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages in mid-June that temporarily suppress temperatures by 8-12°F. The positioning would face realistic revision only if post-event quality-control adjustments to the station data shifted the verified maximum outside that narrow bin, though such changes are uncommon once preliminary reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$45,817End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on an 82-83°F high for Houston on June 15, 2026, reflects the official observation from the primary reporting station, well below the long-term June average of 91-92°F. A cold front advancing into Southeast Texas introduced northerly flow and increased cloud cover, limiting daytime heating despite typical early-summer solar angles. Forecasters had anticipated this shift days earlier, with model consensus correctly projecting highs in the low 80s amid showers and reduced insolation. This outcome aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages in mid-June that temporarily suppress temperatures by 8-12°F. The positioning would face realistic revision only if post-event quality-control adjustments to the station data shifted the verified maximum outside that narrow bin, though such changes are uncommon once preliminary reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,817End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The dominant market consensus on an 82-83°F high for Houston on June 15, 2026, reflects the official observation from the primary reporting station, well below the long-term June average of 91-92°F. A cold front advancing into Southeast Texas introduced northerly flow and increased cloud cover, limiting daytime heating despite typical early-summer solar angles. Forecasters had anticipated this shift days earlier, with model consensus correctly projecting highs in the low 80s amid showers and reduced insolation. This outcome aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages in mid-June that temporarily suppress temperatures by 8-12°F. The positioning would face realistic revision only if post-event quality-control adjustments to the station data shifted the verified maximum outside that narrow bin, though such changes are uncommon once preliminary reports are issued.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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