Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,341 Vol.
$38,341 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,341 Vol.
$38,341 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
$389 Vol.
No
20°C
$871 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,885 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,780 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,229 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$7,936 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,662 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,046 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,581 Vol.
No
28°C
$661 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$2,301 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
Volume
$38,341End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,341End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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