BMKG's latest forecast for April 18 caps Jakarta's high at 30-31°C across districts amid cloudy conditions and 73-95% rain probabilities, yet trader consensus tilts toward 33°C (31.5% implied probability) over 32°C and 34°C due to the city's urban heat island effect—which routinely elevates station readings 1-2°C above rural models—and variable global forecasts like BBC's 33°C projection with thundery showers. April's dry season transition favors reduced cloud cover and solar heating in this equatorial climate, but persistent moisture from nearby convection introduces uncertainty; earlier sea breeze clearing could push toward 34°C, while afternoon showers limit to 32°C. Watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
33°C 32%
34°C 23%
32°C 22%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
23%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
34°C 23%
32°C 22%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
23%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...BMKG's latest forecast for April 18 caps Jakarta's high at 30-31°C across districts amid cloudy conditions and 73-95% rain probabilities, yet trader consensus tilts toward 33°C (31.5% implied probability) over 32°C and 34°C due to the city's urban heat island effect—which routinely elevates station readings 1-2°C above rural models—and variable global forecasts like BBC's 33°C projection with thundery showers. April's dry season transition favors reduced cloud cover and solar heating in this equatorial climate, but persistent moisture from nearby convection introduces uncertainty; earlier sea breeze clearing could push toward 34°C, while afternoon showers limit to 32°C. Watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions