Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via official outlets like the National Center for Meteorology (NCM), project Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17 around 36–39°C under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds enhancing daytime heating via downslope flow off the Red Sea coastal plains. Trader consensus reflects this spread, with implied probabilities clustered in the mid-to-upper 30s°C due to sea breeze moderation capping extremes below 40°C in 70% of ensemble members, while outliers account for 33°C-or-below (27.5%) from potential haze or marine layer persistence and 43°C-or-higher (26%) from stronger subsidence and clear skies. Recent days saw highs rising from 33°C amid clearing after southern thunderstorms, but short-range uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's 12Z model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
38°C 29%
37°C 21%
39°C 21%
35°C 18%
33°C or below
9%
34°C
16%
35°C
18%
36°C
18%
37°C
21%
38°C
29%
39°C
21%
40°C
10%
41°C
9%
42°C
7%
43°C or higher
5%
38°C 29%
37°C 21%
39°C 21%
35°C 18%
33°C or below
9%
34°C
16%
35°C
18%
36°C
18%
37°C
21%
38°C
29%
39°C
21%
40°C
10%
41°C
9%
42°C
7%
43°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via official outlets like the National Center for Meteorology (NCM), project Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17 around 36–39°C under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds enhancing daytime heating via downslope flow off the Red Sea coastal plains. Trader consensus reflects this spread, with implied probabilities clustered in the mid-to-upper 30s°C due to sea breeze moderation capping extremes below 40°C in 70% of ensemble members, while outliers account for 33°C-or-below (27.5%) from potential haze or marine layer persistence and 43°C-or-higher (26%) from stronger subsidence and clear skies. Recent days saw highs rising from 33°C amid clearing after southern thunderstorms, but short-range uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's 12Z model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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