Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight uncertainty in the marine layer depth and onshore flow strength as the main drivers behind the closely matched probabilities for 76–79°F. Persistent coastal stratus and moderate northwest winds are expected to limit daytime heating in downtown Los Angeles, while any shallowing of the layer or slight offshore shift could allow temperatures to reach the upper 70s or low 80s. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with historical July climatology (normal high near 82°F) providing context but current pattern favoring below-average readings. Updated model runs and morning observations on July 19 will refine the final official maximum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 19?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 19?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$63,834 Vol.
$63,834 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$63,834 Vol.
$63,834 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
69°F or below
$763 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,038 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,840 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$6,902 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$10,300 Vol.
Yes
78-79°F
$11,826 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$5,561 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$6,877 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$4,770 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$8,666 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$2,292 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight uncertainty in the marine layer depth and onshore flow strength as the main drivers behind the closely matched probabilities for 76–79°F. Persistent coastal stratus and moderate northwest winds are expected to limit daytime heating in downtown Los Angeles, while any shallowing of the layer or slight offshore shift could allow temperatures to reach the upper 70s or low 80s. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with historical July climatology (normal high near 82°F) providing context but current pattern favoring below-average readings. Updated model runs and morning observations on July 19 will refine the final official maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$63,834End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight uncertainty in the marine layer depth and onshore flow strength as the main drivers behind the closely matched probabilities for 76–79°F. Persistent coastal stratus and moderate northwest winds are expected to limit daytime heating in downtown Los Angeles, while any shallowing of the layer or slight offshore shift could allow temperatures to reach the upper 70s or low 80s. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with historical July climatology (normal high near 82°F) providing context but current pattern favoring below-average readings. Updated model runs and morning observations on July 19 will refine the final official maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,834End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight uncertainty in the marine layer depth and onshore flow strength as the main drivers behind the closely matched probabilities for 76–79°F. Persistent coastal stratus and moderate northwest winds are expected to limit daytime heating in downtown Los Angeles, while any shallowing of the layer or slight offshore shift could allow temperatures to reach the upper 70s or low 80s. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with historical July climatology (normal high near 82°F) providing context but current pattern favoring below-average readings. Updated model runs and morning observations on July 19 will refine the final official maximum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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