Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, show model consensus favoring a daily maximum near 29–31°C on September 24, driven by typical late-wet-season conditions with easterly trade winds, high humidity, and afternoon convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover can suppress peak insolation and lower realized highs by 1–2°C compared with clear-sky potential, while stronger solar heating under partly cloudy skies supports the upper end of the range. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing and intensity of convection, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 24?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 24?
32°C 31%
31°C 25%
30°C 24%
29°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
16%
29°C
20%
30°C
24%
31°C
25%
32°C
31%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
5%
32°C 31%
31°C 25%
30°C 24%
29°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
24°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$10 Vol.
2%
26°C
$10 Vol.
4%
27°C
$4 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
24%
31°C
$0 Vol.
25%
32°C
$164 Vol.
31%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, show model consensus favoring a daily maximum near 29–31°C on September 24, driven by typical late-wet-season conditions with easterly trade winds, high humidity, and afternoon convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover can suppress peak insolation and lower realized highs by 1–2°C compared with clear-sky potential, while stronger solar heating under partly cloudy skies supports the upper end of the range. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing and intensity of convection, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$198End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, show model consensus favoring a daily maximum near 29–31°C on September 24, driven by typical late-wet-season conditions with easterly trade winds, high humidity, and afternoon convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover can suppress peak insolation and lower realized highs by 1–2°C compared with clear-sky potential, while stronger solar heating under partly cloudy skies supports the upper end of the range. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing and intensity of convection, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$198End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, show model consensus favoring a daily maximum near 29–31°C on September 24, driven by typical late-wet-season conditions with easterly trade winds, high humidity, and afternoon convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover can suppress peak insolation and lower realized highs by 1–2°C compared with clear-sky potential, while stronger solar heating under partly cloudy skies supports the upper end of the range. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing and intensity of convection, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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