Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a high near 31–32°C for Panama City on September 23, consistent with trader-implied odds clustering around those outcomes amid the ongoing rainy season. Afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically caps daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, while variable steering winds and moisture influx from the Caribbean can allow brief clear periods that push readings 1–2°C higher. Historical September averages hover near 30–31°C, with recent observations showing similar values under neutral-to-weak ENSO conditions that favor typical convective activity rather than extremes. Model consensus remains stable but sensitive to the precise timing of any showers, which could shave a degree if persistent or permit a higher peak with later clearing. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 23?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 23?
31°C 28%
32°C 23%
30°C 20%
33°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
14%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
23%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
5%
31°C 28%
32°C 23%
30°C 20%
33°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
25°C
$10 Vol.
2%
26°C
$10 Vol.
2%
27°C
$10 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
20%
31°C
$0 Vol.
28%
32°C
$0 Vol.
23%
33°C
$0 Vol.
18%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a high near 31–32°C for Panama City on September 23, consistent with trader-implied odds clustering around those outcomes amid the ongoing rainy season. Afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically caps daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, while variable steering winds and moisture influx from the Caribbean can allow brief clear periods that push readings 1–2°C higher. Historical September averages hover near 30–31°C, with recent observations showing similar values under neutral-to-weak ENSO conditions that favor typical convective activity rather than extremes. Model consensus remains stable but sensitive to the precise timing of any showers, which could shave a degree if persistent or permit a higher peak with later clearing. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a high near 31–32°C for Panama City on September 23, consistent with trader-implied odds clustering around those outcomes amid the ongoing rainy season. Afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically caps daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, while variable steering winds and moisture influx from the Caribbean can allow brief clear periods that push readings 1–2°C higher. Historical September averages hover near 30–31°C, with recent observations showing similar values under neutral-to-weak ENSO conditions that favor typical convective activity rather than extremes. Model consensus remains stable but sensitive to the precise timing of any showers, which could shave a degree if persistent or permit a higher peak with later clearing. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a high near 31–32°C for Panama City on September 23, consistent with trader-implied odds clustering around those outcomes amid the ongoing rainy season. Afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically caps daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, while variable steering winds and moisture influx from the Caribbean can allow brief clear periods that push readings 1–2°C higher. Historical September averages hover near 30–31°C, with recent observations showing similar values under neutral-to-weak ENSO conditions that favor typical convective activity rather than extremes. Model consensus remains stable but sensitive to the precise timing of any showers, which could shave a degree if persistent or permit a higher peak with later clearing. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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