Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Israeli weather services and international models, converge on a daytime high of 30–31°C for Tel Aviv on September 21 under mostly clear skies with light northwesterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with late-September Mediterranean climatology, where typical maxima hover near 29°C amid moderating sea-surface temperatures and stable high pressure. Model consensus and current observations—showing highs of 29–31°C through September 20—have positioned 31°C as the narrow market leader at 54% implied probability, followed closely by 30°C at 43%. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings from local stations, with limited upside potential beyond 32°C given the stable pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
31°C 56%
30°C 43%
32°C 3%
36°C 1.0%
NEW
$13,486 Vol.
NEW
$13,486 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
43%
31°C
56%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 43%
32°C 3%
36°C 1.0%
NEW
$13,486 Vol.
NEW
$13,486 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
$239 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,037 Vol.
43%
31°C
$4,326 Vol.
56%
32°C
$1,770 Vol.
3%
33°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$257 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,337 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Israeli weather services and international models, converge on a daytime high of 30–31°C for Tel Aviv on September 21 under mostly clear skies with light northwesterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with late-September Mediterranean climatology, where typical maxima hover near 29°C amid moderating sea-surface temperatures and stable high pressure. Model consensus and current observations—showing highs of 29–31°C through September 20—have positioned 31°C as the narrow market leader at 54% implied probability, followed closely by 30°C at 43%. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings from local stations, with limited upside potential beyond 32°C given the stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,486End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Israeli weather services and international models, converge on a daytime high of 30–31°C for Tel Aviv on September 21 under mostly clear skies with light northwesterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with late-September Mediterranean climatology, where typical maxima hover near 29°C amid moderating sea-surface temperatures and stable high pressure. Model consensus and current observations—showing highs of 29–31°C through September 20—have positioned 31°C as the narrow market leader at 54% implied probability, followed closely by 30°C at 43%. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings from local stations, with limited upside potential beyond 32°C given the stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,486End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Israeli weather services and international models, converge on a daytime high of 30–31°C for Tel Aviv on September 21 under mostly clear skies with light northwesterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with late-September Mediterranean climatology, where typical maxima hover near 29°C amid moderating sea-surface temperatures and stable high pressure. Model consensus and current observations—showing highs of 29–31°C through September 20—have positioned 31°C as the narrow market leader at 54% implied probability, followed closely by 30°C at 43%. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings from local stations, with limited upside potential beyond 32°C given the stable pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions