Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs range 28–30°C and extremes above 32°C or below 28°C remain uncommon without major synoptic shifts. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the period, with no incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions expected to alter the outcome before resolution. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of significant revision in the final 48-hour updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
30°C 53%
31°C 37%
29°C 19%
32°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
19%
30°C
53%
31°C
37%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
30°C 53%
31°C 37%
29°C 19%
32°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$65 Vol.
53%
31°C
$0 Vol.
37%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs range 28–30°C and extremes above 32°C or below 28°C remain uncommon without major synoptic shifts. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the period, with no incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions expected to alter the outcome before resolution. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of significant revision in the final 48-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$65End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs range 28–30°C and extremes above 32°C or below 28°C remain uncommon without major synoptic shifts. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the period, with no incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions expected to alter the outcome before resolution. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of significant revision in the final 48-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs range 28–30°C and extremes above 32°C or below 28°C remain uncommon without major synoptic shifts. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the period, with no incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions expected to alter the outcome before resolution. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of significant revision in the final 48-hour updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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