Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on September 22, with daytime highs near 29–30°C and overnight lows expected around 23–25°C driven by sea surface temperatures near 28°C and moderate westerly winds. The near-even split between 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling: clear skies and lighter winds could allow the minimum to drop toward or below 23°C, while increased low-level moisture, cloud cover, or stronger onshore flow may limit cooling and keep the low near 25°C or above. Historical September minima average near 22°C, but current ensemble spreads show modest divergence on boundary-layer mixing and humidity, leaving the exact daily minimum sensitive to the final 24–48 hours of model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 98%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
18°C or below
100%
19°C
35%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
36%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
98%
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 98%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
19°C
$0 Vol.
35%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
36%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on September 22, with daytime highs near 29–30°C and overnight lows expected around 23–25°C driven by sea surface temperatures near 28°C and moderate westerly winds. The near-even split between 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling: clear skies and lighter winds could allow the minimum to drop toward or below 23°C, while increased low-level moisture, cloud cover, or stronger onshore flow may limit cooling and keep the low near 25°C or above. Historical September minima average near 22°C, but current ensemble spreads show modest divergence on boundary-layer mixing and humidity, leaving the exact daily minimum sensitive to the final 24–48 hours of model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on September 22, with daytime highs near 29–30°C and overnight lows expected around 23–25°C driven by sea surface temperatures near 28°C and moderate westerly winds. The near-even split between 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling: clear skies and lighter winds could allow the minimum to drop toward or below 23°C, while increased low-level moisture, cloud cover, or stronger onshore flow may limit cooling and keep the low near 25°C or above. Historical September minima average near 22°C, but current ensemble spreads show modest divergence on boundary-layer mixing and humidity, leaving the exact daily minimum sensitive to the final 24–48 hours of model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on September 22, with daytime highs near 29–30°C and overnight lows expected around 23–25°C driven by sea surface temperatures near 28°C and moderate westerly winds. The near-even split between 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling: clear skies and lighter winds could allow the minimum to drop toward or below 23°C, while increased low-level moisture, cloud cover, or stronger onshore flow may limit cooling and keep the low near 25°C or above. Historical September minima average near 22°C, but current ensemble spreads show modest divergence on boundary-layer mixing and humidity, leaving the exact daily minimum sensitive to the final 24–48 hours of model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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