Trader consensus for Ankara's September 20 daily maximum centers on 24°C and 25°C because recent ensemble model runs and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance project afternoon highs of 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation. These conditions align with seasonal norms, where historical averages reach about 24°C, but slight differences in simulated cloud cover and boundary-layer heating create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Official station observations, which resolve the market, will capture the precise peak once solar heating and any afternoon mixing conclude. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time surface data through the evening of September 20 represent the next key inputs for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 20?
24°C 45%
25°C 41%
23°C 13%
26°C 2.2%
$11,712 Vol.
$11,712 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
13%
24°C
45%
25°C
41%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 41%
23°C 13%
26°C 2.2%
$11,712 Vol.
$11,712 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
13%
24°C
45%
25°C
41%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Ankara's September 20 daily maximum centers on 24°C and 25°C because recent ensemble model runs and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance project afternoon highs of 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation. These conditions align with seasonal norms, where historical averages reach about 24°C, but slight differences in simulated cloud cover and boundary-layer heating create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Official station observations, which resolve the market, will capture the precise peak once solar heating and any afternoon mixing conclude. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time surface data through the evening of September 20 represent the next key inputs for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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